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Monday, June 17, 2024

Stocks recover but krone stays weak

Norwegian share prices and foreign exchange rates continued to swing in the midst of more market turbulence on Thursday. Share prices rose, but the krone remained weaker than it’s been for more than a decade.

New figures from Statistics Norway show a sharp drop in the number of job advertisements over the past year, signalling tougher times ahead. Consumer confidence is nevertheless continuing to recover, with regards to both Norwegians' personal finances and the expectations for the national economy. PHOTO: Norges Bank
These 200-krone notes, arguably used most often in Norway, only cost USD 24 on Thursday, down from USD 33 just over a year ago. PHOTO: Norges Bank

It cost more than NOK 8.30 to buy one US dollar for most of the day in Norway, the weakest showing for the krone in 13 years. The fall-off began on Wednesday, and website was reporting that a US dollar hadn’t cost so much since May 15, 2002.

The krone also weakened against the euro, which cost as much as NOK 9.52 late Wednesday but slipped to NOK 9.38 by mid-afternoon on Thursday. One British pound cost 12.86.

Share prices in Norway’s biggest companies, meanwhile, were logging gains, with aluminum company Norsk Hydro up fully 4.04 percent to NOK 28.08 per share and offshore firm Seadrill up 2.66 percent, to NOK 56. Norway’s biggest bank, DNB, and Yara International also logged gains as did the country’s biggest company, Statoil. It was up 1.43 percent to NOK 120.90 just before 3pm, with the main index on the Oslo Stock Exchange up 1.5 percent after a big decline earlier in the week.

Erica Blomgren, chief strategist at SEB, said there was still “enormous uncertainty” in the markets, though, while Swedbank’s chief economist, Harald Magnus Andreassen, cautioned against being overly optimistic because of the stock market rally and even a rise in oil prices after several days of decline.

“I’m still very uneasy that China is on the wrong course,” Andreassen told newspaper Dagens Næringsliv (DN). Nerves had eased, he noted, but he said there was still “considerable over-production” of oil and prices were volatile.

Many analysts heaved a sigh of relief when Chinese authorities cut the country’s key interest rate and lowered reserve requirements, with both moves expected to stimulate the economy of the huge country whose sheer size and consumer demand influences the economies of other countries around the world including Norway. DN reported on Thursday, for example, that exports to China by car parts producer Raufoss Technolgy were due to decline by 30 percent this autumn because of the country’s economic slowdown.

Meanwhile, DN reported that SEB reduced its expectations for oil prices and downgraded Statoil’s shares on Thursday. SEB noted that oil prices had mostly been in free-fall while costs remain high in the oil business even though they’ve come down. SEP now thinks the oil industry’s exploration and production investments will fall by 15 percent next year. Berglund



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